What Casino Game Gives You the Best Chance to Win?

What Casino Game Gives You the Best Chance to Win?

All casino games are fun to play. They are designed for entertainment purposes. But evidently, many players also prioritize monetary rewards. Then some chase after the thrill of beating the house. Which are you? It is important to identify your goal before choosing a game to play. If winning is your priority, some games are better suited than others.

So, what casino game gives you the best chance to win? This article answers this question by highlighting the best games to play to increase your chances of winning.

Five Casino Games that Give You the Best Chance to Win

In no order, the casino games that can give you the best chance to win are: baccarat, blackjack, European roulette, craps, and video poker.

The metric used to select these games is the house edge. These table games have straightforward gameplay and low house edges. Poker is also a game that gives every player a chance to win, but we will discuss why we didn't include it soon.

House edge is the pre-calculated mathematical advantage built into casino games, where players compete against the house or a pay table. It is expressed in percentage. A lower house edge means you get a higher Return to Player (RTP) and vice versa.

In simpler terms, house edge is what the casino keeps per each wager you place, while RTP is what you get back. For example, a game that has 5% house edge means that for every $100 you wager, the house keeps $5 while you get a 95% return.

House Edge Comparisons

House edge varies across casino games depending on the type of wager placed and the paytable. Here is a breakdown of the house edge for each game mentioned.

GameWager/PaytableHouse Edge
CrapsFree Odds Bet (only 0% bet in any casino)0%
Video PokerJacks or Better (9/6 Paytable)0.46%
BlackjackBasic Strategy (3:2 Payout)~0.5%
BaccaratBanker Bet1.06%
BaccaratPlayer Bet1.24%
CrapsDon't Pass / Don't Come1.36%
CrapsPass Line / Come1.41%
European RouletteEven-Money Bet2.70%

Baccarat

Baccarat is a renowned casino card game where players with no skill can achieve high odds of winning. Its objective is simple: bet on which of two pre-dealt hands — the Player's hand or the Banker's hand — will end with a total closer to 9. You can also bet on a Tie.

The Baccarat Banker bet has a house edge of 1.06%, the lowest of any standard casino bet. According to Wizard of Odds and other gambling math sources, the Banker hand wins approximately 45.86% of all hands, the Player wins 44.62%, and 9.52% of hands result in a tie. Excluding ties, the Banker wins about 50.68% of the time, which is why this bet has the best mathematical edge for players. The house takes a 5% commission on Banker wins.

Craps

Craps is a classic dice table game with some of the best wagers in casinos. The goal is to bet on the roll outcome of the two six-sided dice. The game's table can initially seem complex due to the multiple numbers it contains. But the betting process isn’t.

In craps, you wager on whether the appointed shooter will roll a favourable outcome. The best bets to place include the Pass Line and Don't Pass bets. They have low house edges (1.41% and 1.36% respectively, per Wizard of Odds).

If the shooter rolls 7 or 11 on the come-out roll and you placed the Pass Line bet, you win immediately. But if you are betting against the shooter, i.e., you placed the Don't Pass bet, you win if the roll result is a 2 or 3 — a 12 is a push (your bet is returned), known as the "Bar 12" rule and printed on the craps layout. Any other number the shooter rolls becomes a point.

When a point is established, the next best wager to place is the Free Odds Bet. It has a 0% house edge. It can complement the pass or don't pass bet.

European Roulette

This is the simplest game on this list in terms of gameplay. European Roulette is preferred for its low house edge (2.70%) due to the single zero (0) on its wheel — unlike American Roulette, which has both a 0 and a 00, doubling the house edge to 5.26%.

On the betting area, place even-money bets (odd/even, red/black, high/low). They offer the best odds of winning, 48.65%.

Blackjack

Blackjack is one of the few table games where strategy is of utmost importance. With basic blackjack strategy, the house edge is reduced to approximately 0.5%. If you act on the chart's suggestions, you can set yourself up for significant payouts. But play at a table offering a 3:2 payout for blackjack always avoid 6:5 tables, which raise the house edge by roughly 1.4%, more than tripling your long-term cost.

Video Poker

Video poker offers some of the highest odds of any casino game, with an RTP of up to 99.54% when 9/6 Jacks or Better is played with optimal strategy (a house edge of just 0.46%). The most experienced video poker players can find variants like Full Pay Deuces Wild, which can theoretically exceed 100% RTP, but those games require near-perfect play and are rare to find. For most players, 9/6 Jacks or Better is the practical sweet spot.

Video poker operates similarly to a slot machine but with poker mechanics. If you know how to play your cards right, you can win significant amounts.

Why Poker is Exempted

Poker, unlike many other casino table games, pits you against players like yourself rather than the house. Skill is the factor that gives you the best chance of winning at poker. The casino does not have a built-in advantage, i.e., there isn't a fixed house edge. Instead, the casino takes a small percentage of each pot (the "rake") as its fee, but the game itself is between you and the other players.

Why Does No Game Give a Long-Term Edge?

We have highlighted the games that offer the best chances of winning, but in the long term, you cannot have the edge due to volatility. You cannot always have a perfect game. There will be times when random short-term variance causes you to lose more than your wins can offset. This is why casinos emphasize, and players should practice, sound bankroll management.

Additionally, while these games have low house edges, they don’t remain small in the long run.

Over hundreds and thousands of bets, casinos benefit from the law of large numbers. You can only get close to the mathematical return average the more you play. And each time you wager, the house edge comes into effect.

So, yes, you can have moments of huge wins, but in the end, casinos always find ways to win.

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